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2021 NFL Week 4 Odds Picks Three undefeated teams go down Buccaneers rout Pats i

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发表于 2024-7-5 11:14:13 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
The 2021 NFL season is bringing the freaking gas! Have we had a truly bad day of football yet? These prime time games have been incredible all season long. Maybe you could complain about the Week 2 1 p.m. slate. Week 4 looks ready to deliver -- there's a bunch of spicy divisional matchups out west and this little matter of Bucs at Pats. If you haven't heard about this game,  Jalen Harris Jersey you should probably go pick up (drops Oct. 12) about the Patriots dynasty. Even if you have heard about this game, like the majority of human beings currently living on planet Earth, you should still buy the book. It's Tom Brady vs. Bill Belichick, in New England. The number of times we get to see a Hall of Famer with more than a decade of service for one team coming back to play his old team is pretty limited. Joe Montana with the Chiefs, Brett Favre with the Vikings and Peyton Manning with the Broncos all stand out. The former QB was 2-1 in those matchups (Manning lost to Andrew Luck and the Colts in 2012) and the motivation to beat your old team is very, very clear leading up to the game. It's probably why Favre went to Minnesota. Brady didn't seek out Tampa Bay for this game. But he knows the score. He left New England, won a Super Bowl and Bill mi sed the playoffs. The streets are talking and the chatter will get louder if Tahwmy rolls into town and torches the Pats defense.   It's the greatest player of all time versus the greatest coach of all time. It's rare for an insanely-hyped game to justify the publicity but this one meets the mark.  Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET TV:NFL Network|Stream:fuboTV () Follow: The Bengals seem TOO easy for a runaway win here. Jacksonville is on a short week on the road, the offense and defense have been bad and Cincy's defense is playing much better than expected. There's actually a fun future for this game: Zac Taylor to win Coach of the Year. He's 29-1 or thereabouts. The Bengals have the Jaguars, Jets and Lions in the next six weeks and get five of seven games at home to close out the year. If Cincy wins nine or 10 games I don't know how Taylor doesn't take the hardware. It's a pizza money bet so don't get loose. You can get loose on deploying Joe Mixon here, though, as he should be the focal point of the Bengals offense. If the Bengals get an early lead, this game goes under as they run, run, run. I'm banking on that happening but I wouldn't make Burrow and Co. a best bet as the Jags could storm through the back door.   The pick:Bengals 28, Jaguars 17 Props, Best Bets: Joe Burrow completions under 21.5, Joe Mixon over rush yards 82.5, Zac Taylor COY 29-1 Sunday, 1 p.m. ET TV:CBS|Streamaramount+ () A battle between two run-heavy teams might profile as boring, but there is a good shot of us getting a ton of points in this matchup  Marcus Camby Jersey between Mike Zimmer and old offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski. The Vikings want to pound the ball and play defense, but such a strategy is problematic without, you know, a defense. The Browns should be able to sling the ball for play action shots from Baker Mayfield and Minnesota has shown a willingne s this year to actually cut Kirk Cousins loose, with the oddly polarizing quarterback attempting 42, 32 and 38 pa s attempts on the year. The Browns sport a top 10 defense on the year, but are substantially better at limiting the run than the pa s and won't be facing Justin Fields again this week. I like Minnesota to emerge from a shootout with a critical win. The pick:Vikings 35, Browns 31 Props, Best Bets: Over 51.5    Sunday, 1 p.m. ET TV:CBS|Streamaramount+ ()  This is an absurd line this early in the season, but who is going to take the Texans? It would require a backdoor situation in my opinion and the Bills are an aggre sive team late when it comes to keeping their foot on the gas. Josh Allen shook off some early season cobwebs with a five-touchdown performance last week and is poised for another monster outing against Houston. Only a blowout can prevent him from another MVP-level performance. Stefon Diggs has been kind of quiet this season -- I would bank on a BIG game from him this weekend. The Pick: Bills 35, Texans 10 Bets: Stefon Diggs over 6.5 receptions, Diggs over 83.5 receiving yards Sunday, 1 p.m. ET TV:CBS|Streamaramount+ ()  This line is ridiculous. The Colts are not currently a good football team. I don't want to beat a dead horse (get it?) here but Carson Wentz has TWO SPRAINED ANKLES. Again, the max number of sprained ankles any person can have at any given time. After losing to the Titans, there is a good chance  C.J. Miles Jersey the Colts sit Wentz, reduce his snap count (anything under 70 percent and they don't surrender a first-round pick for him), let him get healthy and try to make a run midway through the season. This line is Dolphins -5.5 minimum if Jacob Eason or Brett Hundley is out there. The Jacoby Bri sett revenge game is heavily underrated too. Miami has a better defense and enough offense to win this one by double digits. The Pick: Dolphins 21, Colts 13 Bets: Dolphins -1.5 Sunday, 1 p.m. ET TV: Fox|Stream:fuboTV ()  The Sam Darnold bounceback season has been incredible but the Cowboys are just a bad matchup for an injured Panthers team. When Christian McCaffrey went out with a hamstring injury against the Texans last Thursday, Carolina's offense stagnated. He's the perfect outlet for Darnold and also much better in pa s protection than the rest of Carolina's running backs. The Panthers are down Jaycee Horn. A C.J. Henderson in the first week. Carolina's defense is good but if you want to beat it, you need a good offensive line and a plethora of pa s catchers. Hello, Dallas.   The Pick: Cowboys 35, Panthers 17 Bets: Cowboys -5, CeeDee Lamb over 72.5 receiving yards Sunday, 1 p.m. ET TV:CBS|Streamaramount+ ()  The Chiefs are 1-2 three weeks into the year and below .500 for the first time since Week 10 in 2015, a crazy stat and a testament to how good a coach Andy Reid really is. Reid had a health scare at the end of last week but is cleared to coach in his old stomping grounds. KC should be able to throw up some big numbers against a banged up Eagles defense pretty easily, but it's kind of hard to imagine the Chiefs being able to slow down Jalen Hurts and Co. completely. Nick Sirriani got roasted this week for failing to commit to the run, so one can reasonably expect more than two rushes for explosive playmaker Miles Sanders. This line is probably inflated after an ugly lo s to the Cowboys on Monday night, so I'll take some value with the Eagles here. The Pick: Chiefs 31, Eagles 24 Bets:Travis Kelce over receptions, receiving yards Sunday, 1 p.m. ET TV: Fox|Stream:fuboTV ()  The Lions have so much backdoor cover promise to them this season. Dan Campbell has a bottom-five roster in the NFL and he's getting top-five effort from his team. My biggest concern here is the emotional hangover from the brutal lo s to the Ravens on that Justin Tucker . The Lions defensive front has been  Alex Len Jersey sneaky good and the Bears offensive line is simply not good. It doesn't matter whether Justin Fields, Andy Dalton or Nick Foles is starting -- . Love the under in this fun little slopfest. The Pick: Lions 17, Bears 14 Bets: Under 42.5, D'Andre Swift over receptions and receiving yards Sunday, 1 p.m. ET TV:CBS|Streamaramount+ ()  The Teaser Special Game of the Week here, with the Titans laying more than a touchdown in New York against the Jets. I don't know if you can actually take the Titans, even though I think they cover. But you can tease the heck out of them this week: throw Tenne see in with the Chiefs/Bucs/Bengals and you can do some damage. I suppose the Titans would be a team the Jets could exploit from an offensive standpoint, but 20-25 carries from Derrick Henry should put the Jets defense to bed.   The Pick: Titans 28, Jets 14 Bets: Maybe Henry over receptions based on the usage Sunday, 1 p.m. ET TV: Fox|Stream:fuboTV ()  The Falcons are hot trash and absolutely miz on offense right now. I'm not sure how they found a way to win against the Giants, but they did. And while I have no interest in backing them at any point of this season, Atlanta as a home dog against a pretty terrible Washington defense makes a lot of sense. This becoming The Chase Young Game is petrifying, but the Falcons could slap together a pretty soft win streak over the next few weeks. The Pick: Falcons 21, Washington 17 Bets: Falcons ML, Kyle Pitts over receptions and yards (buying low) Sunday, 1 p.m. ET TV:Fox|Stream:fuboTV ()  The new-look Saints are 2-1 and returning home for the first time since Kyle Lowry Jersey  mother nature wrecked havoc on the Bayou. This Superdome crowd should be ROWDY. But this is not your usual Saints team: they are top five in defensive DVOA and merely average on offense. Jameis Winston has looked, well, like Jameis Winston. One week he's throwing for five touchdowns, the next week he's throwing horrific interceptions and the week after that he's throwing touchdown pa ses while being bent in half and not being able to see where the ball is going. The Giants are just terrible and I'm worried about the environment here for Daniel Jones, but I'm not sure this should be a
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